Ready to Choose?

For most traders, Polymarket's fee advantage alone justifies the crypto learning curve.

Try Polymarket (Recommended) Try PredictIt (Simpler Setup)

💡 Beginner? Start with PredictIt, upgrade to Polymarket after learning crypto

Polymarket vs PredictIt: Which Prediction Market is Better?

Head-to-head comparison of fees, custody, markets, and liquidity. Polymarket's 2% fee vs PredictIt's 15% — does it matter? Plus: which platform fits your trading style.

⚡ Quick Verdict

Choose Polymarket if: You're crypto-comfortable, want lowest fees (2%), highest liquidity, and non-custodial control

Choose PredictIt if: You're US-based beginner, want simple credit card deposits, and only care about politics (not crypto)

Side-by-Side Comparison

Category Polymarket PredictIt Winner
Trading Fees ~2% 10% 🏆 Polymarket
Withdrawal Fee $0 (gas ~$0.20) 5% 🏆 Polymarket
Total Cost (Win $100) $2.20 $15 (10% + 5%) 🏆 Polymarket (7x cheaper!)
Custody Model Non-custodial Custodial 🏆 Polymarket
Deposit Method USDC (crypto) Credit card/bank 🔶 PredictIt
Trade Limits Unlimited $850/market 🏆 Polymarket
Liquidity (Politics) $3B+ annually ~$100M annually 🏆 Polymarket
Spread (Major Markets) 0.5–1% 3–5% 🏆 Polymarket
Market Categories Politics, crypto, sports, earnings Politics-focused 🏆 Polymarket (broader)
US Access Legal (CFTC DCM, 2025) Legal (nonprofit exemption) ➡️ Tie
Ease of Use Medium (wallet required) High (simple) 🔶 PredictIt
KYC Required Email only (currently) Full SSN/ID 🏆 Polymarket
Best For Crypto traders, active traders, low fees Beginners, simple UX, political enthusiasts ➡️ Depends

Fee Difference: The Game-Changer

This is the biggest difference between platforms. PredictIt's combined 15% fees destroy profits.

Real Example: $1,000 Winning Trade

Polymarket

  • • Initial bet: $1,000
  • • Gross payout: $2,000
  • • Trading fee (2%): -$40
  • • Gas fee: -$0.20
  • Net profit: $959.80

PredictIt

  • • Initial bet: $1,000
  • • Gross payout: $2,000
  • • Trading fee (10%): -$200
  • • Withdrawal fee (5%): -$100
  • Net profit: $700

🎯 Difference: $259.80 per trade

On 10 winning trades, Polymarket saves $2,598. On 100 trades: $25,980 saved.

💡 When PredictIt Fees Don't Matter

If you make 1–2 trades per year with small amounts ($50–$100), fee difference is minimal. But for active traders, Polymarket is mandatory.

Trade Limits: PredictIt's Crushing Restriction

PredictIt: $850 Cap Per Market

Hard limit: You can't bet more than $850 on any single market, regardless of conviction.

Real impact: If you want to bet $5,000 on Trump winning, you can't. You're locked at $850 max.

Why it exists: Nonprofit educational exemption limits commercial trading (CFTC requirement).

Polymarket: Unlimited Positions

No limits: Trade $100, $10,000, or $1M+ if you want.

Real impact: Professional traders and whales can deploy full capital. Market efficiency improves.

Example: 2024 election markets routinely see $100k+ individual positions.

🏆 Winner: Polymarket — No question. $850 cap makes PredictIt unsuitable for serious traders.

Liquidity & Spreads: Polymarket Dominates

Why Liquidity Matters

Higher liquidity = tighter spreads = better prices = more profit. Simple.

Metric Polymarket PredictIt
Annual Volume $3B+ ~$100M
Typical Spread (Major) 0.5–1% 3–5%
Order Book Depth $50k+ at best price $5k at best price

💡 What This Means in Practice

On Polymarket: Buy Yes at $0.60, immediately sell at $0.605 (0.5% spread).

On PredictIt: Buy Yes at $0.60, immediately sell at $0.57 (3% spread) = instant 5% loss just from entry/exit.

4️⃣ Custody: Non-Custodial vs Custodial

Polymarket (Non-Custodial)

  • You control private keys (MetaMask/Phantom)
  • Platform can't freeze/seize funds
  • No bankruptcy risk (funds not in platform custody)
  • Lost seed phrase = permanent loss
  • Requires wallet security knowledge

PredictIt (Custodial)

  • PredictIt holds funds securely
  • Simple password recovery
  • No crypto wallet needed
  • PredictIt bankruptcy = funds at risk
  • Platform can freeze account (legal/technical)

5️⃣ Ease of Use: PredictIt Wins for Beginners

Polymarket Setup

  1. 1. Install MetaMask extension
  2. 2. Create wallet + save seed phrase
  3. 3. Buy USDC on Coinbase
  4. 4. Withdraw USDC to Polygon
  5. 5. Connect wallet to Polymarket
  6. 6. Start trading

Time: 30–60 min (first time)

Difficulty: Medium-High

PredictIt Setup

  1. 1. Sign up with email
  2. 2. Add credit card or bank
  3. 3. Deposit USD
  4. 4. Verify ID (KYC)
  5. 5. Start trading

Time: 10–15 min

Difficulty: Low

🔶 Winner: PredictIt — Onboarding 3x faster for non-crypto users. If you've never touched crypto, PredictIt is more accessible.

🎯 Which Platform for Your Profile?

👨‍💻 Active Trader (>10 trades/month)

Recommendation: Polymarket

15% PredictIt fees will destroy your profits. With 100 trades, you'd pay $15,000 vs $2,000 on Polymarket. No contest.

🆕 Complete Beginner (Never Used Crypto)

Recommendation: PredictIt → Polymarket Later

Start on PredictIt (simple setup). Once comfortable with prediction markets, learn crypto and upgrade to Polymarket for lower fees.

💰 Large Position Trader (>$850/trade)

Recommendation: Polymarket

PredictIt's $850 cap makes it unusable. Polymarket has no limits — trade $10k, $100k, whatever you want.

🗳️ Political Enthusiast (1–2 trades/year)

Recommendation: Either works

Fee difference minimal at low volume ($15 vs $2 = $13 difference). Choose based on ease of use (PredictIt simpler) vs fees (Polymarket cheaper).

🔒 Privacy-Conscious User

Recommendation: Polymarket

Email-only KYC (vs PredictIt's full SSN/ID). Non-custodial = no platform tracking of holdings. Though KYC expected 2026.

✅ Polymarket Advantages

  • 7x lower total fees ($2 vs $15 per $100 win)
  • No trade limits (vs $850 PredictIt cap)
  • 30x higher liquidity ($3B vs $100M)
  • 5x tighter spreads (0.5% vs 3%)
  • Non-custodial — you control keys
  • Broader markets (politics + crypto + sports + earnings)

✅ PredictIt Advantages

  • Simple fiat deposits (credit card/bank)
  • No crypto knowledge needed
  • 3x faster setup (10 min vs 30–60 min)
  • Custodial safety (no wallet security burden)
  • Password recovery available
  • Longer track record (established 2014 vs 2020)

💡 Real User Scenarios

Scenario A: "I bet $50/month on politics"

Your profile: Casual political enthusiast, 1–2 trades monthly

PredictIt cost/year: ~$90 in fees (15% × $600 trades)

Polymarket cost/year: ~$12 in fees (2% × $600 trades)

Savings: $78/year

Verdict: Polymarket if crypto-comfortable. PredictIt if crypto intimidates you (setup frustration outweighs $78 savings).

Scenario B: "I'm a professional trader ($5k/month)"

Your profile: Active trader, 50+ trades monthly, looking for alpha

PredictIt cost/year: ~$9,000 in fees (15% × $60k trades)

Polymarket cost/year: ~$1,200 in fees (2% × $60k trades)

Savings: $7,800/year

Verdict: Polymarket mandatory. $7,800 savings = massive edge. Plus $850 cap blocks large positions.

Scenario C: "I want to bet $2,000 on the election"

Your profile: High-conviction single trade

PredictIt: Can only bet $850 (hard cap)

Polymarket: Can bet full $2,000 (or $20,000)

Verdict: Polymarket only option. PredictIt literally can't accommodate this trade.

🏆 Final Recommendation

Polymarket is objectively superior for 90% of traders.

The only reason to choose PredictIt:

  • You're uncomfortable with crypto (learning barrier)
  • You trade 1–2x per year with tiny amounts ($10–$50)

For everyone else: Polymarket's 7x lower fees, unlimited positions, and 30x deeper liquidity make it the clear winner.

Our advice: If you're serious about prediction markets, invest 1 hour learning crypto. The $100–$10,000+ annual savings makes it worthwhile.

Ready to Choose?

For most traders, Polymarket's fee advantage alone justifies the crypto learning curve.

💡 Beginner? Start with PredictIt, upgrade to Polymarket after learning crypto

Read Next

Disclaimer: This comparison reflects both platforms as of October 2025. Fees and features may change. This is not financial advice or platform endorsement. Both are legitimate regulated platforms. Choose based on your needs. Not affiliated with Polymarket or PredictIt.